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I’ve Revamped and Rebranded the Digital Deliverance newsletter to Focus on What has Already Superseded the Mass Media as Consumers’ Predominant Way of Obtaining News, Entertainment, and Other information.

As old dogs such as me get older, we sometimes forget the new tricks we had learned.

“You’re publishing a newsletter to teach media executives the lessons that you taught in graduate school? Won’t this confuse people who instead expect a newsletter that comments about news and current events in the media industries? Moreover, you’ve devoted the past 20 years your life to recognizing the rise of Individuated Media. So, why not call it that rather than brand it with the name of your 30-year-old consulting company.”

So, welcome to the Individuated Media newsletter (formerly Digital Deliverance newsletter). I’ve revamped and rebranded it. The many lessons I wrote and taught in my required course for New Media Management master’s degree students (an elective for doctoral candidates) at Syracuse University’s S.I. Newhouse School of Public Communications, I’m instead converting to podcasts and videos for this newsletter’s paying subscribers—a better way to differentiate what they get from what free subscribers receive.

I’ve increased this newsletter’s frequency to more than weekly. And I’ve also changed its tone. I had been these past years publishing academic publications such the International Journal of New Media Studies, the Nordic Journal of Media Management, the Journal of Strategic Innovation and Sustainability, etc., rather than media industry trade journals. Academic writing is virtually required to be bulletproof and concrete, particularly because any dissident or non-conformist articles get attacked by the hidebound or philistine. Yet that can tend to make academic writing sometimes as heavy and ineffective as the Maginot Line. My career started 50 years ago in journalism, in which writing should be short and snappy, particularly in a newsletter. Here we go!


I’ve a reputation of not taking prisoners at conferences, symposia, and seminars about ‘New Media’. I’d rather immediately kill a faulty idea or unsound strategy than let those go viral. However, I regret that wasn’t faithful to that hygienic practice during an online journalism conference hosted by the University of Massachusetts 20 years ago. The result is that I’m today writing about a misguided strategy that has cancerously metastasized since.

In my opening remarks as that day’s co-moderator of the conference, I warned against the Mass Media industries pursuing a strategy that I’ll now outline below. Unfortunately for conference attendees, my co-moderator subsequent opening remarks started with “Forget all of what Vin has said. That doesn’t matter. Do what [journalism] you do best and [hyper]link to the rest.” I thought that was crudely impolite and unprofessional. I should have immediately disputed him publicly, but I saw that most attendees preferred his simplistic fantasy for online success.

  • What follows are the results.

For more than 30 years, they have myopically misperceived how the introduction of personal computer-mediated technologies has transformed the world’s media environment. The empirical evidence and verifiable data proving my statement is gargantuan and blatantly inescapable.

The Mass Media industries first encountered those technologies during the 1990s (let’s forget the proprietary online services, videotext, and teletext years, although we can certainly include those, too). It was a time when consumers’ access to online required them to plug their wired telephone line into a modem.

  • For what purpose would these industries use the technologies?

They fundamentally mistook the technologies as ways to create online versions of their printed products or broadcast services. A website became equivalent to a periodical’s edition. Its webpages to printed pages. Printed ‘right-on-page’ (‘ROP’) advertisements became banner ads. For the broadcaster, the website became the online source of recorded video clips or the live ‘stream’ of that station or network. Etcetera.

Virtually all sectors of the Mass Media industries were so confident that online could be the ‘digital’ equivalent of their printed products or broadcast services that they also believed that their traditional business models of those products and services could simply be transplanted and succeed there.

The publishers hoped that online would eliminate their costs of purchasing, printing, and distributing paper products. The broadcasters hoped that online would eliminate their costs and regulatory hassles of operating transmitter or dealing with cable or satellite system intermediaries to reach consumers. The Mass Media industries believed that online might eventually generate annual net revenues equal or greater than what their printed products or broadcast services had previously generated.

Those were the goals and practices for online that the Mass Media industries set in the mid-1990s.

  • In my graduate school teachings, I referred to this as the ‘Shovelware Strategy’.

The Mass Media industries thought what was needed for this to succeed was that consumers acquire sufficiently fast online access so that the industries could deliver to them texts, still photos, graphical page layouts, animations, audio, and video simultaneously, and without monopolizing consumers’ home telephone lines. The industries termed this ‘convergence’ because all the industries’ sectors would become capable of multimedia and compete in ways they previously couldn’t.

They achieved that situation starting in circa 2005 when approximately half of the households and businesses in developed nations had acquired ‘always-on’ broadband Internet access. Consumers had become ‘hooked-up’, ‘wired’, and everything seemed to become ‘digital’.

The Mass Media industries’ executives who implemented the Shovelware Strategy were lauded as ‘New Media Pioneers’; promoted into their corporate suites; or retired on their pensions and laurels.

The Mass Media industries, particularly those run by executives inculcated in the concept of three-to-five-year business plans, settled back in what they then believed would be the Shovelware Strategy’s start of a ‘Mature’ phase during which net profits would start growing.

  • The Reality.

Yet as billions of consumers worldwide shifted media consumption habits away from print and broadcast and to online, the Shovelware Strategy incontrovertible failed.

Rather than continue to use the Mass Media industries’ websites, those billions of consumers, as well as the advertisers attracted to them, chose to use the online services of ‘search engines’, ‘social media’, and other innovative startup companies that provided each of those consumers with an individualized mix of news, entertainment, and other information that better match each of those individual’s own unique mix of needs, interests, and tastes, than can any Mass Media company’s products, services, or feed can. Billions of consumers chose to use the websites of companies that produced Individuated Media rather than the websites of the Mass Media industries.

In the March 19th edition of this newsletter this year, I showed how empirical data in 2007 demonstrated that the Shovelware Strategy wasn’t working. And I explained in the March 10th edition how Individuated Media came to supersede Mass Media as the predominant means by which most of the world’s consumers now obtain news, entertainment, and other information. No need to explain those further now.

The overall results of the Shoveware Strategy are that the Mass Media industries worldwide have lost literally hundreds of billions of dollars in annual revenues during the past 20 years of applying the Shovelware Strategy. For example, the U.S. daily newspaper industry’s annual revenues have declined from US$44 billion to less than $18 billion during that period, an aggregate loss of more than $600 billion. During these disastrous 20 years, the Shovelware Strategy has generated merely $3 billion in annual revenues, with stagnant growth during the past decade.

The results of the Shovelware Strategy have been so bad that in less than three weeks, the 250-year old Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, once one of the 25 largest daily newspapers in the U.S., will cease publishing print and online.

As for the remaining 24 largest daily newspapers, during 2025 they lost an average of 13.3-percent of their remaining print edition circulation, ranging from 21.2-percent at The Washington Post to 5.3-percent at the Bridgeport Connecticut Post. (I note that while the Bridgeport newspaper now has the 24th largest circulation among the remaining approximately 1,100 daily newspapers in the U.S., its print circulation is merely 34,000.)

Such declines are only a U.S. phenomenon. Click here to see a chart of the circulation declines of the national newspapers published by Reach Plc (former Trinity Mirror), one of the largest publishers of newspapers in the U.K.

  • My Dare

I publicly challenge any Mass Media industry executive to dispute that what I’ve written above means that they are zombies. (I don’t care how senior the executive nor how cushy his corporate accounterments are.)

Why specifically are executives of the Mass Media industries the walking dead?

Because intelligent businesspeople abandon failed strategies; discern what caused the failure; then devise and implement a new strategy that corrects that failure. Permit me to state a frank truth: braindead businesspeople don’t.

The first empirical evidence of the Shovelware Strategy’s failure surfaced nearly 20 years ago. Since then, it has failed to produce what the Mass Media industries hoped it would. What nowadays are Mass Media executives waiting for? Another nearly 20 years to pass? The concrete results of the strategy’s failure clearly indicate that their businesses will cease to exist by then. What the executives of the Mass Media industries are nowadays doing is staggering in a zombie-like coma towards their industries’ doom.


In the next newsletter, which I plan to send later this week, I’ll begin detailing the solution for these industries. It’s the sum of what I know after working in the media industries for 47 years, of which 32 years were consulting on five continents and teaching at the postgraduate level about how the Mass Media industries should adapt to the introduction of personal computer-mediated technologies worldwide. It is an integrated, multimedia, multinational, and Open Source solution how to transact, track, and invoice the usage of every type and form of contents, so that each individual consumer received a unique feed of news, entertainment, and other information, that better matches his or her individual mix of needs, interests, and tastes, than can any Mass Media industries’ products or service. You might be surprised to learn that most media’s major usage of Artificial Intelligence won’t be in newsrooms or to create contents.

What it will require is a change in paradigm from the Industrial Era’s Mass Media theories, doctrines, practices, and contents packaging. I’ll end this newsletter edition with a similar example of such a paradigm shift:

When Johannes Gutenberg’s invention of the moveable-type press created the Mass Media, the monks in scriptoria, who laboriously hand-copied books, view that new technology as an existential threat and considered Gutenberg’s machine profane. Yet during the subsequent few decades they couldn’t compete with it. So, their employment and industry ended.

What those monks should have done is purchase one of Gutenberg’s presses. Although they wouldn’t have been able to print the magnificently illustrated Bibles they formerly produced, each of which took months or years to produce, a press would have enabled them to produce hundreds of basic Bibles in that same time. The error the monks in the scriptoria made was they thought their purpose was to produce magnificently illustrated Bibles for the few when in reality their purpose was to spread the ‘word of God’ to all.

Nowadays, I deal with mobs of media executives and old-fashioned content creators who zombie-like believe their purpose is to produce and package news, entertainment, and other information, in virtually the ways that their predecessors in previous centuries did. They fail to realize that their real purpose is to use the best possible technologies to deliver whatever mix of contents will best satisfy each individual consumers needs, interests, and tastes.

That is also the most lucrative path to success.

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When the Doom of Mass Media Became Apparent

Clear Evidence Existed 20 Years Ago Websites Won’t Compensate for Print Edition Losses

Digital Deliverance Newsletter #4:

When is a strategy recognized as disastrous? How long must its obvious devastation be experienced until it is called what it so clearly is? How much sheer volume of perennially negative data does it take to alert reasonably intelligent executives to the factual reality that they’ve executed a strategy which has become catastrophic?

Indeed, if a strategy has already failed for over a quarter century, how much longer until the executives who maintain it escape what otherwise appears to be a zombie-like condition in which they thoughtlessly stagger towards their doom?

In the cases of Mass Media executives, perhaps never. They executed a disastrous strategy for adapting to the changes wrought by the introduction of personal computer-mediated technologies into the media environment. They’ve hoped this strategy would at least reap revenues from online that are even greater than those which their printed products or broadcast services generated at the start of the 21st Century or at least compensated for any losses they incurred as consumers shifted media consumption habits to online rather than those traditional products and services. What they hoped clearly hasn’t occurred despite more than a quarter century elapsing. Yet rather than change, or even significantly alter this failed strategy, they mindlessly continue it despite its disastrous effect upon their industries. After all, why change course, even at the last minute, when you instead can go down with the ship?

I refer to what I term the ‘shovelware strategy’. The Mass Media industries simply shoveled onto websites the contents of their printed products and broadcast services. These industries hoped that consumers would use these websites the same ways (i.e., as frequently and deeply) as consumers had used their printed products and broadcast services during the 20th Century. Compounding that hope, the industries likewise shoveled onto these websites their theories, doctrines, business models, and traditional practices of Mass Media

Newspapers were the first sector of these industries to implement the shovelware strategy. They encountered personal computer-mediated technologies during the late 1970s and early 1980s in the form of news ticker scrolls in videotext; then as textual news stories in teletext experiments during the late 1970s through the 1980s; then in the form of third-party proprietary online services from then until 2000. When the Internet opened for public usage and the first multimedia Web browser software was developed, Mass Media companies were freed from having to split revenues with the videotext, teletex, or proprietary online services companies whose telecom systems they used. Newspapers instead launched their own websites and implemented the shovelware strategy. Other sectors of the Mass Media industries would follow their lead.

Within a decade, the newspaper sector was touting their shovelware strategy’s ‘success’ and believed they had data to prove it.

In 2007, the Nielsen//Netrating (‘Nielsen’) company released the data table about traffic at major United States daily newspapers’ websites during the middle of that year. Nielsen audited six months of the traffic data then divided that by six to approximate the average monthly traffic during that period. Look at the first three newspapers listed as examples:

  • The New York https://www.nytimes.comTimes led the list. Its website received an average of nearly 14 million ‘Unique Visitors’ to whom it displayed an average of more than 370 million ‘Web Page View.’ I’ll use the Audit Bureau of Circulations listings from 2007 to compare the ‘Unique Visitor’ totals: 1,120,420 copies on weekdays and 1,621,062 on Sundays.
  • The Washington Post, whose printed circulation was 699,130 weekdays and 894,428 on Sundays, was ranked second on the list. Its website had an average of nearly 12 million ‘Unique Visitors’ who saw nearly 191 million ‘Web Page Views’.
  • USA Today, whose 2,278,022 printed circulation was produced only on weekdays, ranked third with more than 9 million ‘Unique Visitors’ and more than 110 million ‘Web Page Views’.

The newspaper industry’s publicists, corporate suites, and executives who had launched the websites loved this data because it appeared to be proof that the shovelware strategy was working. However, they and other sectors of the Mass Media industries myopically couldn’t see the forest for the trees. It wasn’t the big numbers but each newspaper’s own array of numbers that told more important stories—a wider data panorama to see.

First, why does Nielsen conflate daily and monthly? It is good that Nielsen can identify individual users and not mistake them for another user if they return to a website more than once during that average month. Yet newspaper circulation, the number upon which their advertising sales rates are based, has always been calculated as a diurnal number: the total number of people who either subscribe to daily delivery of a copy or otherwise purchase a copy at newsstands, kiosks, or markets on that day. If a visitor to a newspaper’s website (particularly a website not charging for access, in the case of The New York Times in 2007) visits it only once per month, should such a free visitor count as equivalent to a paying consumer of a printed daily newspaper?

Second, Nielsen reports that the average user of The New York Times website visits 4.05 times per average month. That’s the equivalent of only once per week. Let that sink in. The website of the premiere daily newspaper in the U.S., and perhaps the world, is visited by its average monthly user only about once per week! Moreover, The New York Times didn’t start charging for access to its website until three years later. So, 4.05 times per average month is how infrequently the average user visits to this renowned newspaper’s website—even when accessing it is free.

Third, Nielsen reported that this average user saw 27 webpages during the average per month, which at an average of 4.05 visits per month means he probably sees an average of fewer than 7 webpages per visit. If that user happens to visit the website’s Home page during one or more of those 4.05 visits, he will see even fewer news story webpages per visit. The New York Times generally publishes only one story per webpage. Newspaper industry surveys prior to the opening of the Internet for public usage showed that an average user of a printed edition would read fewer than 7 stories per usage. However, that usage was considerably more frequent. The data back then indicated that the average user of a printed edition would use it 3 to 5 days per week. Yet using a printed edition only 3 to 5 times week is equal to 13 to 22 times per month. And even if that average consumer of the printed edition read fewer than 7 stories during each of his usages of the printed edition, then that means the approximate number of stories he read per month might have been 91 and 154. Compared that to the website’s average user reading no more than 27 news story webpages. No wonder many newspaper companies that have implemented the shovelware strategy are laboriously trying to improve ‘reader engagement’ with their publication’s websites!

Fourth, Nielsen reported that the average user spent an average aggregate total of 20 minutes and 20 seconds per month on The New York Times’s websites. That’s within only a few minutes of the total time a reader of the printed edition spends reading it on each of the average of between 3 to 5 days per week. In other words, the total amount of time the average user of this newspaper’s website spent there per month is merely 1/13th to 1/22nd the time the average reader of the printed edition spends reading it each month. Disengagement, indeed!

With very rare exceptions, the Nielsen data from other major U.S. newspapers are as bad or much worse. For instance, the average user of USAToday’s website visits it the equivalent of once every ten days and spends less than half the time than the average user of The New York Times’ website. The average user of The San Francisco Chronicle’s or the Miami Herald’s websites saw merely 8 webpage all month long and spent half again less times than the average user of USAToday’s website did. Even the average user of The Wall Street Journal’s website, the only one in this Nielsen table that in 2007 was charging consumers for access, had as infrequent and shallow use from its average user as the USAToday’s website did. Consider that consumers paying for access to a newspaper’s website made remarkably the same usage as consumers of newspapers websites with free access did.

These problems are even more grave because approximate three-quarters of this major U.S. newspapers’ websites charged advertisers only for the actual number of online ads that were exposed. Compare that to printed newspapers, in which advertisers are charged for the total number of editions sold (i.e., circulation), regardless of how many newspaper subscribers or purchasers picked up and read that edition. If your website’s average user visits on average of only 4.05 times per month, that’s how infrequently the website exposes ads to him. A website doesn’t deliver anything; its contents await retrieval.

The Nielsen data should have alarmed, rather than pleased, the U.S. newspaper industry and the other sectors of the Mass Media industries that implemented the shovelware strategy. More than a cursory look at the data demonstrated that consumers were NOT using these websites as frequently and deeply as consumers had used these newspapers’ print editions. The data likewise inferred that the traditional Mass Media business models didn’t work online.

When shortly after 2007 some media analysts and consultants began presenting the negative information in this and subsequent Nielsen reports, that company, under pressure from the U.S. newspaper industry, ceased publicly releasing such data.

During the 2010s, I began using this Nielsen data table as an analysis exercise for my postgraduate students. All were initially impressed by the large numbers of ‘Unique Users’ and ‘Web Page Views’. However, the more perceptive students soon noted all the potentially disastrous data interactions. So, why didn’t the U.S. newspaper industry’s executives. I think that they didn’t want factual reality to interfere with their mistaken belief that they’d made the correct decision to shovel their way towards the future rather than scientifically navigate there. ‘Management by seat of the pants’ my friend the late Murray Light, for his final 20 years the editor of the Buffalo News, called it in contrast to Management by Objective.

The U.S. newspaper industry continues its shovelware strategy in misadapting to computer-mediated technologies. Since 2007, the industry has lost some two-thirds of its readers and advertising clients and seen its annual revenues plunge from $44 billion to around $18 billion. During that period of titanic losses, the shovelware strategy generated $3 billion in annual revenues for this industry, hardly enough to compensate for the considerably larger losses. It is a number that hasn’t grown much this decade.

What the shovelware strategy has accomplished is to excavate the grave of the U.S. newspaper industry. Continuing will make the U.S. newspaper industry, with few outlying exceptions, posthumous. This distressed industry complains that it nowadays has few resources remaining to effect a change in course, which is ironic considering how few resources it initially gave the shovelware strategy in the late 1990s. During the next seven weeks of this newsletter, I’ll be writing about other mistakes the Mass Media industries made attempting to adapt to personal computer-mediated technologies. Then, I’ll begin to present solutions to the problems I’ve detailed.


The Hallmark Flaw of the Mass Media

Ask historians to say when the Industrial Era began and they will cite dates in the 18th or 19th centuries when a factory powered by hydraulics or steam engine was first constructed in their nation. I think they’re wrong. The start of the Industrial Era shouldn’t be defined by what powered mechanisms of mass production, but by the invention of such a mechanism itself. In approximately 1454, the entrepreneurial metallurgist Johannes Gutenberg invented the moveable type printing press: the world’s first mass production device.

Prior to Gutenberg, books were rarities, affordable only by the church or the rich. A typical scribe or monk in a scriptorium could copy by hand two to four pages daily, laboriously producing a simple book in three to six months. If the book was also ‘illuminated’ with illustrations or decorations, it could take up to three years. Gutenberg’s press used metal type characters that were set in a mirror-image analog of the page to be printed. This was then inked and pressed onto paper. A two-man team operating the press lever or crank could imprint hundreds of pages daily, enough to produce hundreds of books per month, more than a lifetime’s production by a scribe or monk.

The societal effects of Gutenberg’s press are often cited as ending the Middle Ages and beginning the Modern Era. This first mass production device fundamentally improved how human beings distribute, store, and trust information.

Nearly half a millennium later, Guglielmo Marconi’s invention of wireless broadcasting markedly extended the immediacy and reach of information. He converted electrical teletype signals into analog electromagnetic waves of radiation that could be instantly received across huge distances. The later additions of microphones and photovoltaic sensors and cathode receiver tubes resulted in radio and television.

From these analog production and distribution technologies of the Industrial Era arose the theories, doctrines, business models, products, services, and practices that are now colloquially known as the Mass Media. Their industries globally generate US$3 trillion in gross revenues annually.

The Present

Since the mid-1990s, the Mass Media industries have created online versions of their Industrial Era products and services ‘converged’ into multimedia websites or ‘streaming’ services. The industries hoped that consumers and advertisers would utilize the websites the same way (i.e., as often and thoroughly) as consumers had printed products or broadcast services during the 20th Century. The industries hoped that the same Industrial Era business models would work, too. Moreover, these industries hoped that eliminating the costs of purchasing, printing, and delivering paper products and eliminating the regulatory licensing hassles and transmission antenna or cable and satellite delivery systems carriage costs incurred with traditional broadcasts would result in far greater net revenues than the industries had ever generated.

Their hopes failed. Instead, virtually every sector of the Mass Media industries has seen its daily consumer audiences and advertising clientele, and thus gross revenues, decline when adjusted for economic inflation or population growth. In some Mass Media sectors, the failures are titanic. For instance, the U.S. newspaper daily industry, with remarkably rare exceptions during the past 30 years, has lost some 70 percent of its gross revenues, readership, and advertising clientele.

The disastrous results occurred because the Mass Media industries, in their attempts to adapt to the Informational Era’s personal computer-mediated technologies, overlooked or forgot the hallmark flaw of the Industrial Era’s analog technologies from which those industries arose. In the postgraduate media management courses that I taught for 14 years and my papers published in scholarly journals, I termed this hallmark flaw ‘analog uniformity’. Each pressrun prints identical copies. Every simultaneous listener or viewer of a broadcast hears or sees an identical program on that frequency or channel. With the analog technologies of the Industrial Era, there is no practical way to mass produce printed editions or broadcast programs which contain bespoke (i.e., fully customized) contents to each recipient consumer’s own unique mix of needs, interests, and tastes.

This flaw wasn’t grave during the first 500 years of the Mass Media, when the overall supply of news, entertainment, and other information was scarce and printed periodical page space limited. Publishers initially chose the most universal of topics. Gutenberg famously printed Bibles in Christian Europe. As newspapers and later magazines emerged from presses, royal edicts and national news, and reports about wars and disasters, soon became the most popular secular topics printed. Writers started journals which became journalism. As the supplies of news, entertainment, and other information available for publications grew, editors began selecting stories according to two concomitant criteria: (1) stories about which there is the greatest common interest, and (2) important stories about which the editors think their community must be informed. Broadcasters adopted these same criteria when conceiving and producing their programs. Even as recently as 20 years ago, before most offices and homes in developed nations gained broadband Internet access or ‘smartphones’ were invented, this hallmark flaw of the Mass Media wasn’t calamitous.

Indeed, once circa 2006 the majority of offices and homes in developed nations had gained broadband access, and particularly three years later consumers began purchasing mobile phones that could retrieve and display multimedia contents, the Mass Media industries presumed the new media environment finally had become ripe for reaping their own online successes. Tragically, the industries either forgot or overlooked two fundamental facts:

First, they had inadvertently transplanted the hallmark flaw of Industrial Era analog media technologies into their Informational Era products and services, a huge flaw that these new media technologies inherently didn’t have. Second, the exponentially accelerating advancements of Moore’s Law and its corollaries were quickly turning the global media environment upside-down. Traditional scarcity of information flipped to surplus, ensuing inversions in not only the economics of information but also the power dynamics of transactions among content creators, intermediaries, and consumers.

The Mass Media industries had been forewarned about the epochal transformation that would forever alter how people obtain news, entertainment, and other information, and obsolesce many of the industries, theories, doctrines, business models, products, services, and practices known as the Mass Media. In his seminal 1995 book, Being Digital, Nicholas Negroponte, founder and chairman emeritus of Massachusetts Institute of Technology’s Media Lab, wrote:

There is another way to look at a newspaper, and that is as an interface to news.

Imagine a future in which your interface agent can read every newswire and newspaper and catch every TV and radio broadcast on the planet and then construct a personalized summary. This kind of newspaper is printed in an edition of one.

What if a newspaper company were willing to put its entire staff at your beck and call for one edition? It would mix headlines news with ‘less important’ stories relating to acquaintances, people you will see tomorrow, and places you are about to go to or have just comes from. It would report on companies you know. In fact, under these conditions, you might be willing to pay the Boston Globe a lot more for ten pages than for a hundred pages, if you could be confident that it was delivering you the right subset of information. You would consume every bit (so to speak). Call it The Daily Me.

Two years later, Roger Fidler, former Director of New Media Development for the Knight-Ridder newspaper chain, wrote in his book, Mediamorphosis: Understanding New Media:

The vision that CMC [Computer-Mediated Communications] technologies employing advanced personal ‘agents’ will ultimately empower individuals to bypass, and perhaps replace, traditional information and entertainment gatekeepers has strong appeal within some groups.…A more all-encompassing Daily Me presents a much more difficult problem on CMC systems. But with more powerful microprocessors and a significant increase in telecommunications bandwidth, some version of the Daily Me is bound to emerge before the year 2010.

In What Newspapers And Their Web Sites Must Do To Survive, published in 2004 by the University of Southern California’s Online Journalist Review, I wrote:

For its survival, the newspaper industry must produce and automatically deliver, wired and wirelessly, entirely intact and individually customized editions that are smaller, vertically formatted, and that combine the graphical layout capabilities of print and the interactive multimedia capabilities of the Web, and flow to fit any display screen or printed paper size.

Appearing in 2006 on The New York Times’ Best Seller List, The Long Tail: Why the Future of Business is Selling Less of More, a book by Chris Anderson, former editor of Wired Magazine, focused entirely on computer-mediated technologies’ capabilities to provide to each individual a selection of items that better matches that individual’s unique mix of needs, interests, and tastes, rather than the mainly items of greatest common interest. In that year, Amazon, Inc., a company already using that new business model, had grown to a market capitalization of $16 billion and today is a $2.2 trillion company.

Many Mass Media traditionalists abhor the concept of using computer-mediate technologies to aggregate and provide a bespoke feeds of news, entertainment, and other information to each consumer. For instance, in a 2009 column entitled the Daily Me, Nicholas Kristoff of The New York Times warned that social science studies indicate human beings don’t naturally seek “good information” but rather information that corroborates their existing prejudices. He predicted that the ‘Daily Me’ concept would cause people to insulate in “hermetically sealed political chambers” or the “reassuring wombs of an echo chamber.”

I think that such mass hermeticization had already occurred by 2009 in the U.S. after the Mass Media industries’ 1996 launches of Fox News and MSNBC television networks. Moreover, as much as Kristoff mentions a human tendency to seek corroboration, I point to an even more predominant human behavior: the tendency to seek and obtain the best possible mix of items that match your own individual needs, interests, and tastes. It is the tendency that makes each of us individual (‘individuated’) and has been rather thoroughly confirmed by Freud, Jung, Habermas, et. al.

Many hidebound Mass Media executives also misperceive consumers’ growing demand for more individuated media as the ‘fragmenting’ or ‘atomizing’ of audiences, which from an Industrial Era perspective might seem true. However, Anderson in The Long Tail quotes me:

The individuals haven’t changed; they’ve always been fragmented. What’s changing is their media habits. They’re now simply satisfying the fragmented interests that they’ve always had.

I’ll write in subsequent editions of this newsletter about how the Mass Media industries myopic misperception that they could transplant their traditional products and services, business models, doctrines, and theories into computer-mediated technologies was an industrial-scale example of the Einstellung Effect, the tendency to use traditional thinking to solve a novel problem even though better or more appropriate and analytical methods of solving the problem exist. For now, however, let’s advance to the third act of this tragedy.

The Future

As the capabilities of computer-mediated technologies ever more articulately aggregate, select, and deliver individuated feeds of news, entertainment, and other information to each of the world’s consumers ineluctably continued to advance exponentially, sooner or later a company or companies would commercialize it. What was remarkable in the new media environment, however, was that the companies that did weren’t initially founded to do so, but then phenomenally succeeded.

For example, Google was founded as a company selling webpage ranking software, not as a media company providing news, entertainment, and other types of information, nor selling advertising space or time. Facebook, which was originally founded as a ‘hot or not’-type friend or date finding application first at Harvard University. Twitter (now known as X) was founded as a group messaging application rather than any source of news, entertainment, or other information. The stories are similar for many search engines and social media applications that started in other nations. These startup companies, however, understood computer-mediated technologies’ capabilities to create individuated services and contents feeds. And they also understood the novel business doctrine nowadays called ‘User-Driven Innovation’ in which if most of their customers begin using their product or service for other than the purposes for which those were initially intended, pivot and focus that product or service on that new purpose rather than fight it.

During the past 25 years ago, literally billions of consumers started discovering that by ‘search engine’ and ‘social media’ services to connect to their friends, denote their ‘Likes’, and let these services’ algorithms record what they watch or search, they then could start receiving increasingly articulate feeds of news, entertainment, other information, discussions, and friendships. These individuated feeds are a better match to their individual needs, interests, and tastes than the products or services from any Mass Media company or alliance of such companies can provide. Additionally, even newer startup companies have launched services that use computer-mediated technologies solely to provide individuated streams of music to consumers (Pandora, Spotify, etc.).

Because search engines, social media, and other individuated streaming services all have mass production and mass reach capabilities equal or greater to the Mass Media yet with the unprecedented simultaneous capability of mass individuation, are entirely based and reliant upon computer-mediated technologies, have no possible analog media equivalents, and overcome or obsolescence numbers of the Mass Media’s theories, doctrines, business models, products, services, and practices, I radically posit these to be an entirely new genus of media, rather than ancillary some spinoffs or ancillaries of the Mass Media. In my classroom and scholarly publications, I’ve termed them the Individuated Media.

Once the Mass Media industries noticed the growing popularity of Individuated Media, those traditional industries create their own accounts on these new services so that their websites might receive online traffic from these. That soon became the Mass Media industries’ main sources of online traffic, yet primarily because billions of consumers were abandoning their habitual usage of the Mass Media industries and switching to the Individuated Media industries’ services. Google and Facebook have become two of the fastest growing companies in world history and between them now control slightly more than half of the world’s ‘digital’ advertising sales, including local advertising. Earlier this year, the Reuters Institute at Oxford University reported that the social media sector of the Individuated Media industries has now become the predominant means by which people of the world first obtain news, entertainment, and other information, eclipsing television for those purposes.

The phenomenal popular and financial successes of Individuated Media industries at the expense of the Mass Media industries has motivated some the latter to lobby their national governments to force Individuated Media companies to pay some financial compensation for their losses. That is now law in Australia and Canada, yet the compensations aren’t nearly the magnitude of the losses.

Worse for the Mass Media industries, the exponentially advancing capabilities of computer-mediated technologies have now reached the capabilities of Artificial Narrow Intelligence, otherwise known as Generative or Agentic ‘AI’. The search engine sectors of the Individuated Media industries are no longer mainly providing to consumers links to Mass Media industries’ websites and instead themselves using AI to answer consumers’ search questions. This means that the Mass Media industries have immediately seen their websites’ traffic drop by 40 or more percent, with commensurate declines in those websites’ advertising sales revenues.

Such usage of AI by the Individuated Media industries will only increase as the exponentially advancing capabilities of computer-mediated technologies do. Atop the past 20 years’ huge declines in the Mass Media industries’ audiences, advertisers, and revenues, these developments portent those increasingly antiquated industries probable doom.

Although the Mass Media industries have begun studying how to use AI, because those industries are still largely clueless that the huge consumer demand for individuated services is why competition from Individuated Media services are the root causes of their audience, advertisers, and revenues losses, they are myopically focusing their experiments with AI on newsroom usage, rather than in using AI’s peerless ever-increasing capabilities to individuate news, entertainment, and other informational services, which is exactly how Individuated Media uses AI.

The exponential progress of Moore’s Law, the concurrent rise in Artificial Intelligence’s capabilities, and even the possible introduction of practical Quantum computing, will likely ensure ever increasing individuation of media services during the 21st Century.


Bogeymen & Bezos

Don’t Get Distracted from the Existential Problem

In 1998 when I first began questioning if the Mass Media industries would have a future, the senior vice president of marketing at largest daily newspaper in Texas tried to reassure me, “People have been using newspapers for centuries, so we expect they will for centuries more.”

What immediately crossed my mind was that horses had been a prime means of transportation for millennia, so people living 100 years ago probably thought this meant that horses would still be a prime means of transportation in future centuries, too. How wrong they were! Within 30 years of 1898, horses had disappeared as a prime means of transportation in most developed nations. Not just in Texas!

Last week in this newsletter’s first edition, I stated that its focus is the existential threat now confronting the Mass Media industries as the Industrial Era wanes and the Informational Era dawns. What is this threat? Is it truly existential? Or am I being over-dramatic or otherwise hyperbolic? No, I can justify what I here state.

Twenty years ago, the Mass Media industries was riding high. Many of those industries announced recorded earnings during the first half-decade of the new millennium. Although the ‘Great Recession’ then struck, those industries reasonably expected to restore and resume those record earnings soon afterward. However, that didn’t happen.

Since 2007, almost all sectors of the Mass Media industries have seen plummeting audiences (i.e,. readership, listenership, or viewership); advertising clienteles; and gross revenues (turnover) when such numbers are adjusted for population growth or inflation. Some of the declines have been spectacular, an example of which I’ll describe below and in subsequent newsletters. Starting next week, I’ll likewise write about he categorical reasons for these declines.

However, in this second edition of the Digital Deliverance newsletters, let’s focus on the proximate reason why the Mass Media industries are not only in rapid decline but actually in danger of extinction, a tangible problem already creating troubling societal effects.

What is this existential threat? Some myopic pundits call it the ‘Missing Business Model’ problem.

During the past 30 years, literally billions of consumers worldwide have begun using personal computer-mediated technologies, rather than printed products or broadcast services, as their primary means of obtaining news, entertainment, and other information. Yet during that time, the Mass Media industries unfortunately haven’t been unable to devise a business model or models with these new technologies that enable them to earn revenues equal or greater than those they’d earned from the printed products or broadcast services which those billions of consumers are abandoning.

Simply naming this the ‘Missing Business Model’ problem is a misnomer that crudely allows too many ‘content creators’ to disclaim responsibility and claim that it is a problem for their business office to solve. In fact, it’s as much a Missing Product Model’ or ‘Missing Service Model’ problem. The printed products and broadcast services of the Mass Media industries had been phenomenally popular during the previous century but no longer are, no matter if now in print, broadcast, or online. So, it is more accurately a ‘Missing Business / Product / Services Model’ and has also begun causing societal problems.

The example I’ll use in explaining this is the U.S. newspaper industry. The newspaper sector of the Mass Media was the first to encounter personal computer-mediated technologies (as teletext or proprietary online services), thus it has had the most experiments and longest experiences with these new technologies. The United States of America is the world’s largest newspaper market.

If you ask journalists or news executives what the single greatest threat to journalism nowadays is, most will likely say either censorship or else the murders or imprisonments of journalists. They are wrong. Although censorship is rampant worldwide, it doesn’t exist in all nations of the world. As for murders or imprisonments, most journalism rights organizations report that 130 were killed and between 300 and 600 imprisoned last year. Yet as atrocious as those murders and imprisonments were and as restraining as censorship might be, the ‘Missing Business / Product / Services Model’ is manifestly causing even greater losses of journalism.

As proof, consider some arithmetic about journalism. According to the the Pew Research Center, more than more than 100,000 journalists in the U.S. became unemployed since 2008, primarily because the news enterprises for which they worked are shrinking due to falling revenues caused by the ‘Missing Business / Product / Services Model’ problem. If each of those 100,000 U.S. journalists had been reporting an average of between one and five stories per week, that probably means between 100,000 and half a million local, regional, national, or international news stories per week are no longer being reported. This means between 5 million to 25 million unreported stories during a typical American 50-week work year.

That’s just in U.S. Although I’ve not been able to locate an estimate for the global number of journalists who have become unemployed due to this problem, my educated guess is between 500,000 and 2 million. So, the number of news stories that aren’t reported due to the ‘Missing Business / Product / Services Model’ problem are magnitudes more than those unreported by the 130 journalists killed and 300 to 600 who were imprisoned.

That arithmetic also holds true for the Mass Media industries’ sectors creating and packaging contents that aren’t hard news, such as topical magazines and radio and video feature, etc. All topical media also are subjects of this problem.

So, you might think after 20 years of such declines that journalists are zealously trying to solve the ‘Missing Business / Product / Services Model’? Think again! A relatively small minority who’ve become unemployed have tried to start their own journalistic enterprises, reporting stories from their communities and posting those on websites they have created. Their successes among are few and far between. Some have been able to keep themselves fed and housed. Very few cases have been able to sustain employment for teams of journalists. (The Texas Tribune is often cited as a regional example, as are Semafor and Mediahuis as national or international examples.) None has found a model that is readily usable in all communities, such as the printed newspaper was during the 20th Century.

Most journalists, plus perhaps most people employed in the Mass Media industries, just want to continue what they have been doing. Many simply seem to assume that the theories, doctrines, business models, practices, and products and services that arose during the Industrial Era and have become known as the Mass Media are the ne plus ultra – the evolutionary ultimate in media (particularly now that multimedia ‘convergence’ has been added to and delivery is ‘digital’). That’s an unrealistic daydream shattered by billions of consumers having abandoned regular usage of the Mass Media industries’ products and services in printed, broadcast, or online. Yet many journalists and other content creators in the Mass Media industries refuse to believe the ‘Missing Business Model’ problem is in reality a ‘Missing Business / Product / Services Model’ problem in which the products or services they produce are crucially failing components.

Which brings me back to the subject of bogeymen. For instance, Amazon tycoon Jeff Bezos, owner of The Washington Post. I’ve read dozens of news or media industry publications and websites that bewail Bezos’s ‘layoffs’ of one-third of his newspaper’s newsroom staff. According to them, when Bezos purchased that newspaper 13 years ago for US$250 million he was supposed to underwrite its losses forever. (I can locate no records of him ever having said so).

The Washington Post last year lost $100 million. As it did so during 2024. And it lost $70 million during 2023, and perhaps equal or smaller millions in previous years. The trajectory of its declines is no different from those of virtually all 1,100+ daily newspapers still published in the U.S. So, add all that to the $250 million Bezos paid in 2013 to purchase that newspaper. The Washington Post’s weekday printed circulation is now less than 97,000 and during the past three years its website’s ‘digital’ subscriptions dropped from 3 million to 2.5 million. Bezos has put more than a half billion dollars into keeping that newspaper operating. When is enough enough?

I know of a journalism professor who has written that the solution for the U.S. newspaper industry’s declines is for billionaires or multimillionaires to purchase each U.S. newspaper and operate these as a sort of charitable hobby. That too is a nice daydream. However, keeping dying patients alive via life support systems at charity hospitals doesn’t cure them. Likewise, the newspapers that plan to convert their legal status from commercial enterprises to not-for-profit organizations are simply swallowing a placebo.

Had those who blame Bezos as a bogeyman thought that he was a technological wizard who would devise devise some way to stop and reverse the newspaper industries’ declines in audiences, advertising clienteles, and revenues? Ditto biotech billionaire Patrick Soon-Shiong who in 2010 purchased the Los Angeles Times. Those wizards obviously were unable to do so. When in the 10th Century powerful King Canute went to the beach and commanded the tides to stop, did his courtiers and subjects condemn him when the tides continued? Bezos’s subsidization of The Washington Post likely kept that newspaper operating better and longer for the past 13 years that it otherwise might. (Ask the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, a newspaper even older than the District of Columbia itself, what the alternative is.)

For more than 20 years, remarkable number of Mass Media journalists and pundits have been blaming either bogeymen or cursory factors for their industries declines: feckless tycoons, hedge funds, corporate chain ownerships, dividend pressure from Wall Street, etc. In 2005, Columbia Journalism Review Publisher Evan Cornog even penned an tongue-in-cheek essay entitled Let’s Blame the Readers (an essay which suspiciously has since been removed from CJR’s online archive but is still available elsewhere). Let’s eliminate these bogeymen or cursory factors as the problem.

Compare the declines in audiences, advertising clientele, and gross revenues of the Mass Media companies owned by hedge funds, corporate chains, and publicly-held corporations versus those of the Mass Media companies that are independently or private owned or not-for-profit. You’ll see the declines are statistically the same regardless of those enterprises’ legal status or ownerships.

Look wider: the declines of Mass Media industries in Canada, 22 of the 27 European Union nations, Australia, Japan, Israel, Singapore, Malaysia, the Republic of South Africa, and many other developed nations remarkably parallel the declines of such industries in the U.S.

Another common false excuse for the Mass Media industries inability to devise a viable business model online says that consumers online have became ‘used to’ or ‘habituated’ to not paying for news, entertainment, and other information back when websites were first developed. It says that if all websites back then had charged, there now would be no problem. Such claimants are ignorant. I’ve been working full-time at the Mass Media industries adaptation to online since 1993. I was personally involved in scores of attempts to get their consumers to pay for online content during the 1990s and subsequent decades. Lack of charging back then wasn’t the problem simply because there was no such lack.

Long overdue is the time for journalists and other creators of traditional Mass Media products and services to awake to the understanding that the reasons why billions of consumers worldwide have shifted their media consumption away from those traditional products or services (even those placed online) isn’t merely a business office problem. It is a massive problem arising from those products and services. It’s the obsolescence of those products and services. There is no business model that will ever again make these products and services viable. Journalists and other content producers need to stop blaming others, notably bogeymen, for that fundamental problem. Journalists and other content producers need to join with their business office staffs in solving the problem (don’t worry: neither journalistic objectivity nor creative control needs to be sullied or surrendered).

Starting in next week’s newsletter, I’ll explaining how to solve this fundamental and existential problem. I’ll do so by defining the solution and dimensions, which is how I’d taught it for the past 14 years to my total of 220 postgraduate students; presented it at forums such as the World Media Economics and Management conferences and the International Media Management Academics Association; and have published it in the Journal of Strategic Innovation and Sustainability. Until next week!

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By the way, on the topic of journalists, if you’ve time on Monday, March 9, listen to Carlos Dada, Co-Founder and Editor-in-Chief of the internationally acclaimefd Central American news website El Faro, who will deliver this year’s Memorial Lecture at Oxford University’s Reuters Institute. His subject is Journalism as Resistance.

And lest anyone might mistakenly think that I might not care about murdered or imprisoned journalists, know that my friend journalist Mzia Amaglobeli, co-founder and director of Batumelebi and Netgazeti, is in her second year of jail on trumped up charges in the Republic of Georgia. Meanwhile, my friend José Rubén Zamora Marroquín, founder of the Guatemalan newspapers Siglo Veintiuno in 1990, El Periódico in 1996, and Nuestro Diario in 1998, who was serving a six-year jail sentence on concocted charges, was released in 2024 after the verdict was overturned on appeal. He is awaiting a new retrial on those same charges. I was honored to meet Dada, Zamora, and Amaglobeli when I was consulting to the Media Investment Loan Fund which help fund their news organizations.

I also lament the death of my friend Marie Colvin with whom I worked at United Press International’s New York City news bureau during the 1980s. Later a foreign correspondent for The Sunday Times of London, Marie was personally targeted by Syrian Army artillery and killed in 2012 during the Battle of Homs . In 2025, a court in France issued an arrest warrant for former Syrian president Bashar al-Assad and six other officials of his regime due to the attack that killed her.


Journal of Strategic Innovation and Sustainability

In May, I presented my conceptual paper Individuated Media in the Informational Era at the biennial World Media Economics and Management Conference in Rome. The paper has since been published the in the peer-reviewed, quarterly Journal of Strategic Innovation and Sustainability. I am particularly happy about this because I hadn’t solicited this journal. Instead, it had heard about the paper and asked to review it. Moreover, JSIS is a general-interest business journal, not a media industry journal, and it publishing the paper thereby demonstrates wider acceptance of the concept of Individuated Media.

Read about ‘Individuated Media’ in the Nordic Journal of Media Management

This article published the peer-reviewed Nordic Journal of Media Management asserts that new, extremely popular modes of media services have arisen during the past 25 years that need to be critically categorized as different from the Mass Media we have known from the Industrial Era. These aggregational, extremely customized, new genus of media services, which I term collectively Individuated Media, arise solely from computer-mediated technologies, and are unprecedented before this century. All take marked advantage of a largely overlooked inherent limitation that Industrial Era technologies have but that Informational Era technologies don’t. The article is based upon a presentation given in Qatar at the biennial International Media Management Academics Association conference.

Time For the Media Industries to Face Nine Bare Facts

Hypereides_unveils_Phryne's_beauty
Hypereides defends Phryne against the charge of impiety. (Jean-Léon Gérôme, circa 1861). Throughout history, baring unadorned facts has often been misconstrued as heresy.

“Not everything that is faced can be changed.
But nothing can be changed until it is faced.”
– James Baldwin (1962)

The world’s media industries are nearly 20 years overdue facing these nine bare facts:

1. The daily newspaper industry’s wealth and vitality will never return. Almost all daily newspapers, whether published in print or online, will cease to exist during the coming decade (i.e., 2021-2030). This industrial evaporation is already underway and obvious throughout North America, Western Europe, Brazil, the southern cone of South America, Turkey, Israel, Egypt, Australia, and New Zealand. Even in the world’s traditionally strongest markets for daily newspapers, such as Japan, South Korea, Singapore, and Scandinavia, the publications’ readerships, circulations, and advertising revenues have begun to erode. And in developing nations, where the daily newspaper industry has seen remarkable growth during the past 30 years, countries such as China, India, Indonesia, Mongolia, Nigeria, Pakistan, and Persian Gulf and Central Asian nations, that growth had stalled during the years prior to the coronavirus pandemic.
 The evaporation of the world’s daily newspaper industry is not a cyclical contraction that might eventually reverse. Instead, it is a permanent extinction caused by fundamental, indeed epochal, changes in the media environment (see fact #5). Although by the end of the coming decade many nations might still have one or two national daily newspaper brands that continue to publish only online, all daily newspaper will have ceased to publish in print, plus virtually all the world’s regional and local daily newspapers will have ceased to exist.
 The similar evaporation of the world’s weekly news magazine industry is even more progressed. There is already little viable market for more than one weekly printed news magazine in most countries. By the middle of the coming decade, virtually all weekly news magazines in the world will cease to publish in print. Many legacy brands of formerly weekly newsmagazines will continue to publish online only and with much diluted coverage, much smaller readerships, and far lower revenues than what those legacy brands had earned during previous decades. Most weekly news magazines that publish online already update daily; thus once those magazine titles cease to publish in print they will compete online directly against daily publications, making their categorical chrononym weekly superfluous.

2. Daily newspapers and weekly news magazines aren’t dying because of corporate greed or because the public no longer cares about news. Although it is true that the publicly traded corporations and the hedge funds that own most news publications have burdened those with onerous ‘contribution margin’ revenue and profit demands, it is a fact that privately-owned news publications and not-for-profit news publications have suffered virtually identical decreases in readerships, circulations, and advertising revenues, during the same periods, as have news publications owned by publicly traded corporations or by hedge funds. The media industry pundits who scapegoat publicly traded corporations and hedge funds myopically fail to see the panorama of changes in the media environment that in fact have led to these publications evaporating fortunes and likely demise. Although well-intentioned, pundits guilty of that misperception have helped blind the industries they claim to guide.
 And as for whether or not the public still cares about news, surveys by general polling companies such as Gallup, Harris, etc., plus data from media analytics companies such as ComScore and Nielsen, consistently indicate that the public nowadays consumes more news than ever before. The cogent difference between now and 25 or more years ago is that although fewer people now read printed news periodicals, the aggregate time that people now spend consuming news is greater than at any time in history, and that people now consume it via computer-mediated devices (probably more access and choices of news than ever before (see fact #5). Moreover, people online now consume news from far many more organizations than when their access was limited to merely whatever printed periodicals and over-the-air broadcast channels were locally distributed or locally receivable. Neither extreme greed by corporations nor public disregard for news are the fundamental reasons why daily newspapers and weekly news magazines are dying in print and online.

3. The key reason why most people in the Informational Era will no longer pay for the packages of contents that media companies have been producing is simply the Principle of Supply & Demand economics. It is not, as some media pundits claim, because people ‘have gotten used to obtaining contents for free’ online and have simply become habituated to free.
 During the past several decades, billions of people’s supply of news, of entertainment, and of other information, has shifted from relative scarcity to surplus (or even overload). Although most people are willing to pay something, depending upon what type of news, entertainment, or other information. and how it is selected and packaged, the subscription payment rates that most Mass Media companies nowadays ask them to pay are unrealistically at least an order of magnitude higher than what market economics necessitates for a functioning market. Moreover, the erection and operation of website ‘paywalls’ by those companies now thwarts many potential new consumers (notably younger ones unfamiliar with those companies’ printed products) from gaining sufficient experience and familiarity with these websites to motivate them to subscribe. And as research by the University of Michigan and the University of Georgia recently published in the Journal of Marketing shows, most Mass Media companies’ website paywalls have counterintuitively resulted in the loss of most of those websites’ heaviest users; significantly reduced those websites’ advertising revenue; and have been successful only at slightly reducing the ongoing declines in the number of remaining subscribers to the companies’ editions, simply by reducing the savings those subscribers would otherwise gain by cancelling their printed edition subscriptions and using the websites for free). With rare exceptions, these paywall endeavors have failed to generate revenues high enough to reverse or compensate for the declining overall revenues from these companies’ printed or otherwise legacy products and service, and are symptomatic of the Mass Media industries’ continued myopia to how radically consumers’ newfound supply of contents have transformed (see fact #5) the economics of the media environment.
 People generally want to know the news, to be entertained, to be informed. During the the Industrial Era, most people were willing to pay the prices publishers would ask for packages (i.e., a printed edition of news, an album of music, etc.) of Mass Media contents. That was because people had relatively scarce access to such. Their supply was limited to whatever daily newspapers and weekly or monthly magazines were locally available and to whichever television and radio stations were locally receivable. In the cities and towns of most developed nations 30 to 50 years ago, that meant perhaps one to four newspaper titles and 20 to 30 magazines available at newsstands, kiosks, and by hand or postal delivery, plus one, two, or three television stations and maybe a total of ten to 20 radio stations. Yet beginning during the 1970s, installation of cable television systems has increased by two magnitudes the number of television channels available to those consumers. During the 1980s, widespread conversion of printing facilities from letterpress (i.e., melted lead) to offset lithography (computerized typesetting) technologies made publication of special-interest magazines economical, increasing by more than a magnitude the numbers available to consumers. The opening of the Internet to the public during the early 1990s had led to consumers gaining online access to every newspaper, magazine, and book now or ever published, a gain of many magnitudes. Widespread implementation of broadband technologies during the first decade of this new millennia gave consumers access to every radio station and television channel worldwide, as well streaming access to cinema contents. ‘Smartphone’ mobile access during the 2010s has made this newfound cornucopia of contents available to consumers everywhere. It is not inordinate to state that all these developments increased consumer’s access and supply of news, entertainment, and other information, by 1.5 to 5 magnitudes, depending upon category of contents. And as anyone who has been to a bazaar, souk, flea market, or trading floor understands, whenever the supply of something hugely increases, the price which people are willing to pay for that hugely decreases (and the power over transaction shifts from buyer to seller). Unfortunately, the prices that publishers nowadays ask consumers to pay for contents hasn’t adjusted much at all to how the supply of those contents has radically increased.
  Publishers have discovered that the majority (>70 percent) of consumers demonstrably won’t pay those subscription prices are demonstrably will no longer pay for those Mass Media companies’ packages of information, either in print or online. Indeed, Mass Media companies have discovered that only a small minority (<10 percent) of their website’s visitors will purchase subscriptions when faced with paywalls. Probably the best known example of this is with The New York Times, arguably the premiere daily newspaper in the English language. Eight years now after after erecting its website’s paywall, and after spending tens of millions of dollars marketing paid subscriptions to that website’s visitors, The New York Times Company management early this year reported that by the end of 2019 it has been able to motivate only 3.4 million of the website’s 136 million registered visitors to subscribe. (If those who purchased special subscriptions giving them access solely to recipes or to crosswords puzzles but not the newspaper’s news stories are included, the number of subscribers increases to 4.4 million). That is a conversion rate of merely 2.5 percent (3.2 percent if recipe and crossword puzzle subscribers included). To put that in context, the U.S. Direct Marketing Association reports average conversion rates of between 2.9% to 5.1% for single, unsolicited postal marketing campaigns (i.e., junk mail) for consumer products. Thus, eight years of campaigns involved multi-million-dollar marketing by The New York Times has generated lower conversion rates than even a single average ‘junk mail’ gets. Less renowned daily newspapers have even worse subscription conversion rates from their websites’ paywalls.
 Another dynamic reduces further the prices that consumers are willing to pay for Mass Media packages of contents. As first noted by Evan Schwartz in his 1997 book Webonomics, Industrial Era packages of Mass Media contents, such as newspapers or magazines, tend to ‘unbundle’ once placed online. During the Industrial Era when people’s access to daily changing information was relatively scarce, most people in their community might have been willing to subscribe or pay for a copy of the their local daily newspaper to read its international, national, regional, and local news, sports, business, and feature stories. Nowadays, however, a person who wants to know international news will more likely access the website of The New York Times, BBC, CNN, others renowned source of international news, rather than continue to access their local daily newspaper’s website for the news. A tennis fan will more likely access the websites of Sports Illustrated or Tennis magazine than continue using his local daily newspaper’s sports pages in print or online. Etcetera. The only categories of news for which he might continue using his local daily newspaper in print or online is local news of his community. Yet local news is nowadays only approximately half to one-third the contents of that newspaper, which means that the value or price that people are willing to pay to subscribe to that newspaper falls proportionately at least that much. Surveys during the past decade have indicated that many people are willing to pay a subscription of $5 to $3 or less per month to access their local newspaper’s website. Unfortunately, most newspaper publishers demand at least $10 to $15 per month for an online subscription. The end result is too much of a value/price gap between buyer and seller, a market failure resulting in very few online subscribers.

4. Selling online advertising will never generate Mass Media companies the advertising revenues that those companies had earned during the Industrial Era from selling printed or over-the-air or cable broadcast packages of contents. Like fact #3 above, this is because of due to the Principle of Supply & Demand. Advertising pricing functioned according to the economics scarcity during the Industrial Era, when people’s supply of media was relatively scarce . During the Informational Era, however, it functions according to the economics of surplus, now that people have a surplus (or even overload) of media.
 Revenue from advertising sales was a major source of revenues for Mass Media during the Industrial Era, although its proportion of overall revenues varied by region. For examples, selling advertising space had generated approximately 80 percent of revenues for North American printed daily newspapers, yet roughly the reciprocal for European daily newspapers. Selling advertising time generated 100 percent of revenues for commercial broadcasters in nations with little or no governmental broadcasting presence, yet zero percent in nations with most governmental broadcasting monopolies. No matter if 10, 20, 50, 80, or 100 percent of overall revenues, advertising has been an important revenue stream for most Mass Media companies, one that often could make or break profitability.
 During the Industrial Era, advertising sales function according to the economics of scarcity because there is a finite amount of page space in a printed edition or airtime in a broadcast. As a rule, the more consumers who read, listened, or viewed a Mass Media product or service, the more demand there was among advertisers to purchase that finite advertising page space or airtime adjacent or interstitial in those products or services. In other words, the greater the audience, the greater the price that Mass Media companies could charge for that page space or airtime. Once people worldwide began shifting their media consumption habits from printed periodicals and from over-the-air or cable television systems and to online, most Mass Media executives assumed that the economics of advertising online was also based upon the Industrial Era economics of scarcity. Unfortunately for Mass Media companies in the new Information Era, however, the economics of selling advertising online are based upon the economics of surplus, the inverse of scarcity (an inversion arising from fact #5 below).
  Consider the following contrasting examples. Take a printed monthly publication with one million circulation (i.e., subscriptions plus single-copy sales), in which each approximately 30-page edition contains 15 page of advertising space, and whose publisher is able charge advertiser $100,000 per page of that advertising space. If by some genius of marketing, that publication’s circulation suddenly and reliably increases to two million circulation, its publisher is under no obligation to double the number of pages in each edition (although he could) including doubling the number of advertising pages. Instead, he could continue to publish the approximately 30-page editions, with 15 pages of advertising space, but now be able to charge advertisers perhaps $200,000 per page. In other words, increase consumer consumption directly tends to increase ad . Contrast that with the website of this publication. Let’s hypothetically say that it contains 30 webpages, each of which contain at least one banner advertisement; that it normally receives one million online visitors per month; and that its has been receiving one million online visits (i.e., ‘page views’) per month. That means its publisher needs to have already found buyers of at least one million banner ads per month. If then by some genius of marketing, this website’s suddenly and reliably starts receiving two million online visits per month, its publisher then must find buyers of at least two million banner ads per month. Online space isn’t finite but infinite: surplus, not scarce. If the website’s publisher cannot find buyers for that extra million banner ads per month, then he will either have to publish half of his webpage exposures with any advertising or perhaps run twice each of the one million of banner ads for which he has found buyers. Either of those two ways effectively halve the per ad rates he charges. (A third alternative would be simply bill the purchasers of one million banners ads for two million banner ads, a method unlikely to succeed.) Thus, increased consumer consumption online tends to not increase a website’s per ad rates, but often actually lower those per ad rates (‘CPM’). Increased consumer traffic directly increases the inventory of advertising for which a website must have buyers. Moreover, as the number of websites using advertising as a revenue source increases online, which it astronomically has, that too increased the available inventory of banner ad space for which buyers must be found, which also tends to dampen or decrease online ad rates. Most Mass Media executives weren’t aware of these differences when during the past two dozen years they began shoveling their otherwise printed or broadcast contents into online and hoped that this would generate advertising revenues commensurate to those from their legacy products and services. For instance, the U.S. daily newspaper industry now after 24 years online has more circulation online than it does in print; yet its online revenues overall have grown to only abut $3.5 billion annually while its printed revenues overall have declined from $42 billion to approximately $14 billion during the past 15 years.
 The advertising business model of the Industrial Era’s Mass Media, rooted in scarcity, doesn’t readily transplant into the new Information Era’s media environment. As billions of people worldwide continue to diminish or end their consumption of printed editions and of over-the-air or CATV scheduled broadcast programming, that difference increasingly becomes a disaster for Mass Media. Consider The New York Times. During 2019, online advertising from its websites’ 136 million users generated 51 percent of the company’s $531 million in total advertising revenues. Yet advertising from only 443,000 weekday and 918,000 Sunday readers of its printed editions generated the remaining 49 percent. Based upon readers on weekdays, the majority of days in which that newspaper publishes both in print and online, that means each reader of the printed edition was indirectly generating $587.34 in annual advertising revenues for that newspaper company and each reader (i.e., ‘monthly unique visitor’) to its website was indirectly generating a mere $1.99 in annual advertising revenues. In other words, each printed edition reader was worth 295 website visitors in terms of advertising revenue! And as ever more of the newspaper’s consumers continue to shift their media consumption habits from print to online, the harder it will be for that and other newspapers and magazines to compensate for their lost printed edition advertising revenues.

5. The recent shift from relative scarcity to surplus (or overload) in people’s access and supply of news, entertainment, and other information, is the greatest development in the history of media since the invention of writing more than 5,000 years ago.
 Johannes Gutenberg’s invention of the movable-type printing press circa 1440 has long been considered by western scholars as the greatest development in the history of media. It permitted the mass production and mass distribution of texts that would last for generations. Within 30 years of its invention, approximately 1,000 book titles had been printed and sold to thousands of Europeans. It was a key development in the history of media, which helped catalyze the European Renaissance and Age of Discovery. Yet if it is indeed a significant development, it pales in comparison with what has occurred now during the past 30 years: more than 4.6 billion people (60 percent of humanity) have gained nearly instantaneous access to all of the information that has ever before been printed and broadcast. What technological, commercial, political, cultural, and societal changes will be catalyzed by billions of people now having access to this gargantuan vast cornucopia of information? The ramifications of this massively greater development are only beginning to be perceived and understood. One that has already become clear is that this epochal shift from relative scarcity to surplus has markedly changed how people consume news, entertainment, and other information.
 Most pundits, professors, and professionals in the media industries inexplicably can’t see the forest for the trees. They agree that media consumption has changed, but most see only superficialities: that consumers have simply become ‘wired’, ‘hooked-up’, or gone ‘digital’ (the colloquial, if often erroneously used, moniker for online). Consequently, most pundits, professors, and professionals in the media industries believe that computer-mediated online technologies (i.e., online) exist ancillary to Mass Media as means to extend electronically the reach of Mass Media products and services. They consider online as paperless ways of distributing the contents of otherwise printed editions, or as antenna-less ways of broadcasting. They see computer-mediated technologies as a means by which formerly separate sectors of Mass Media can now to compete against one another in a ‘converged’ multimedia format. That these computer-mediated technologies might beget an entirely new and superior genus of media that is superseding Mass Media is a conceptual framework beyond their ken. Thus, most have myopically failed to perceive the panorama of the more fundamental, indeed epochal, ways by which the dawning Informational Era’s technologies have profoundly transformed what had previously been the Mass Media environment of the Industrial Era. This myopia hobbles their abilities to adapt, dooming their media companies or their media schools. The obvious declines of Mass Media companies’ revenues and audiences during the past 15 years are evidence of all this.
 To see the larger panorama of changes, deliberate the following thought experiment. Imagine that throughout your life you had been served whatever meal that everyone else in your community was served that day. However, you now have been given access to the largest buffet in the world. Would you continue to consume the standard meals that you are given? Or would you instead select from that gargantuan buffet whatever mix of items you think best match your own unique mix of needs, interests, and tastes? If you are like billions of online consumers nowadays, you’ll choose the buffet, rather than the standard meal, for most (if not all) of your subsequent meals. You’ll either reduce or cease your consumption of the standard meals. That is how media consumption has fundamentally changed now that most people’s access and supply of news, entertainment, and other information, has shifted from relative scarcity to surplus (or overload). Gaining access to a gargantuan cornucopia or buffet of information, billions of people are reducing or eliminating their previous consumption of the uniform or standardized packages of contents that the Mass Media produced. Those billions of people now instead have used search engines and social media to hunt and gather mixes of the items that better matches each of those consumer’s own of unique mix of needs, interests, tastes, and believes, than any uniform or standardized package or packages of Mass Media contents can. This change in media consumption is radically reshaping the world’s media environment. As advances in computer-mediated technologies increase, particularly with the onset of machine learning and artificial intelligence, this change ultimately dooms the content selection and packaging methods and business models, as well as many of theories, doctrines, business models, and practices, that were developed for Industrial Era media technologies and have collectively become known as Mass Media.
 Academicians debate exactly when the Industrial Era began. Some think it dates from the invention of the steam engine. However, I think it began more than two centuries earlier with Johannes Gutenberg’s invention of the moveable-type printing press. His press invented mass production. The texts in a book or a newspaper could be mass-produced then mass-distributed: Marconi’s invention of the analog waveform broadcast transmitter centuries later did the same for mass distribution of audio or video contents. All the forms of media we colloquially know as Mass Media arose from such Industrial Era technologies: the analog mass production and mass distribution of a thing. Wonderful as those analog technologies have been, however, they all have a fundamental limitation. The hallmark limitation at the core of Mass Media is that despite mass production and mass reach, the analog media technologies of the Industrial Era which spawned Mass Media are incapable of creating a unique packages of contents (i.e., a unique edition,  a unique program schedule, a unique musical playlist, etc.) for each consumer according to that individual’s own unique mix of needs, interests, tastes, and beliefs. All recipients of a Mass Media package of contents simultaneously received the same mix of items: the same edition, same program schedule, same playlist, as everyone else who has acquired it from that publisher or that broadcast. I refer to this hallmark limitation as analog uniformity. Mass Media’s theories, doctrines, business models, and practices, are rooted within that hallmark limitation of Industrial Era analog production technologies. Because of this limitation of Mass Media, the producers or editors of Mass Media packages of contents use two criteria when selecting which items to include in those packages they produce. They choose (1) items about which they think everyone should become informed, and/or (2) items which might have the greatest common interest. Nevertheless, no matter how skilled those producers or editors might be, the result (as surveys of recipients perennially have indicated) are that the majority of items in each standardized or uniform edition or program schedule don’t interest the average recipient, only a few of the items do.
 Unlike with the Industrial Era’s analog media technologies, that hallmark limitation does not exist in Informational Era’s computer-mediated technologies. These new media technologies have equal or greater mass reach than did the Industrial Era’s analog media technologies, yet are entirely capable of producing and distributing unique packages of contents (i.e., an individualized edition, an individualized program schedule, an individualized playlist, etc.) to each consumer according to that individual’s own unique mix of needs, interests, tastes, and beliefs. The billions of consumers who now use these new media technologies, giving them access to all of the world’s news, entertainment, and other information, clearly have been reducing or abandoning their consumption of Mass Media products and services because these new media technologies help them find a better mix of contents to satisfy their own unique mix of needs, interests, tastes, and beliefs than Mass Media products and services can technologically supply. And as the accelerating power, articulation, and sheer scope of computer-mediated technologies continue to advance during this century (as will inevitably happen due to Moore’s ‘Law’, the Internet of Things, Machine Learning/Artificial Intelligence, Quantum Computing, etc.), the superior capabilities of computer-mediated technologies versus analog media technologies will correspondingly and ineluctably increase.

6. The explosive commercial success of search engines, social media, and such genre-specific algorithmic media as Pandora, Spotify, Flipboard, News360, etc., and the corresponding commercial declines of newspapers, news magazines, and general interest broadcasts are direct results of the Informational Era superseding the Industrial Era, as is people’s access and supplies of news, entertainment, and other information, shifting from relative scarcity to surplus (even overload).
 During the latter decades of the previous century, when Mass Media companies began shoveling (‘repurposing’) into computer-mediated delivery technologies (i.e., online) their printed or broadcast products or services, executives of those companies and their industries had been attracted to online media because it is free of the costs of purchasing, printing, and delivering printed paper products, and of the regulations involved in governmentally licensed broadcasting, the range limitations of terrestrial broadcast antennae, and the channel rights negotiations necessary for cable broadcast transmissions. Most executives thought that attempting to transplant their companies’ contents and business models into online was at least a worthwhile experiment that might lead to auxiliary revenues; some executives thought the experiments might even lead to online possibly superseding printed editions and terrestrial (‘over-the-air’) and cable television transmissions as the future delivery mechanism of their companies’ products and services. What none of these executives perceived was that computer-media online technologies would instead engender an entirely new genus of media, one markedly different than Mass Media.
 Because the hallmark limitation of the Industrial Era’s Mass Media (see fact #5) technologies simply doesn’t exist in the Informational Era’s computer-mediated technologies, development of new media products and services that breached that limitation was ineluctable. These new media products and services offer each consumer a mix of contents that is a far better match to each consumer’s own individual mix of news stories, entertainments, and other information items, than the products and services of Mass Media can produce. That development was foreseeable. Nicholas Negroponte, the director of the M.I.T. Media Lab predicted it in his 1995 book Being Digital. Nine years later, I and others were warning the world’s daily newspapers that their industry was about to begin an inexorable collapse if they didn’t quickly begin utilizing these remarkable new capabilities of computer-mediated technologies. Facebook was incorporated that year. YouTube was founded the following year. Google News and Twitter were each released the year after that. By then, Pandora had been successfully competing against the radio industry for six years. Why the executives of Mass Media companies, notably those who had pioneered ‘shovelware’ repurposing of their companies’ contents online, failed to perceive and use the unprecedented capabilities of computer-media technologies equal and exceed the mass reaches of Mass Media products and services but simultaneously to do so with mass production of individualized feeds of news stories, entertainments, and other items of information, that more precisely match each consumer’s individual mix of needs, interests, and tastes did than can any products or services of Mass Media is a titanic loss to their industries.
 Although consumers lacked those executives’ expertise about legacy media, billions of consumers worldwide began shifting their consumption habits from legacy Mass Media to these new media products for the above obvious reasons as the Industrial Era waned and the Informational Era dawned. The early adopters among them first did this through usage of search engines, which aided each in manually hunting and gathering news stories, entertainments, and other items of information that matched their own unique mix of needs, interests, tastes, and beliefs. By the start of the second decade of this new millennium, they and hundreds of millions of other consumers discovered that web-based online services ostensibly designed for collaborative sharing of interests, services now collectively known as social media, automated and markedly increased the efficiency of their hunting and gathering of such mixes of contents (similarly to how collaborative efforts of like-minded individuals had greatly increased the efficiency of hunting and gathering the needs of their Neolithic ancestors). And in recent years, computer-mediated online services that deliver individualized mixes of specific forms of contents (Pandora, Spotify, etc., for music; Flipboard, News360, etc. for news; Netflix, YouKu, etc., for video entertainment) have been launched and attracted up to hundreds of millions of consumers. Unique to the Informational Era, search engines, social media, and other algorithmically processed, computer-mediated services that produce and deliver individuated results can be collectively known as Individuated Media.
 Aren’t such new media products and services merely new forms or auxiliaries to Mass Media? They do have mass reach. For example, Facebook currently more than 2.4 billion users, twice the reach of the world’s largest Mass Media organization (China Central Television with 1.2 billion viewers). However, strikingly unlike any Mass Media product or service, each of Facebook’s 2.4 billion users simultaneously sees a unique mix of contents, different than that any other of those users sees. (In Facebook’s case this is generated according to each user’s own individual mix of friends and of expressed ‘Like’s and ‘Follow’s, etc.). Unlike the Mass Media of the Industrial Era, the Individuated Media of the Informational Era combines mass reach with mass individuation.
 That Individuated Media products and services better satisfy people’s desire to find the best possible mixes of needs, interests, tastes, and beliefs, than Mass Media can provide has been amply demonstrated worldwide this century by Individuated Media products’ and services’ fulminant commercial rise and Mass Media products’ and services’ correspondingly precipitous commercial decline. Indeed, Individuated Media products and services have already superseded Mass Media products and services as the prominent means by which worldwide most people under the age of 40 obtain news, entertainment, and other information.

7. As the information Era rapidly succeeds the Industrial Era, the longer that legacy Mass Media companies persist in prolonging production of products or services that computer-mediated technologies of the Informational Era have already rendered obsolete, the more difficult it will be for those Mass Media companies to adapt and less likely it will be that they will survive.
 During the early years of this century, the corporate and new media executives of most Mass Media companies myopically failed to perceive anything but superficialities amid the epochal changes that were already then transforming the world’s media environment (see facts #5 & #6). Their myopic failures to see the larger changes, and specifically how those would obsolesce their companies’ packages of contents, therefore dooming their business models and revenues, were grave oversights that have since cost their industries literally hundreds of billions of dollars in lost revenues worldwide during the past decade. (The U.S. daily newspaper industry alone has lost more than half of its annual revenues, with aggregate losses during the past decade totally some $100 billion.) Mass Media nowadays have less wherewithal, in terms of financial or human capital, to adapt and survive than they did 20 years ago. Most nowadays continue cluelessly apace, unsure what, if anything, to do except whatever the companies had been doing prior to the epochal changes. Most corporate and new media executives of Mass Media companies wanly hope that someone, somewhere, will somehow discover or innovate some as-yet ‘missing’ business model that will reverse their legacy industries’ declines before the dust settles. Hope springs eternal but the well runs dry.
 It is fundamentally impossible for legacy Mass Media companies to regain their previous positions as the predominant means by which most people obtain news, entertainment, and other information. That is simply because those companies remained Mass Media companies; didn’t become Individuated Media companies; and lost their dominance to ‘pure-play’ Internet startup companies whose executives could more clearly see how the media environment had changed.
 Nevertheless, though Mass Media cannot regain their former positions in that environment, they nonetheless still hold some remaining leverage. Even though user-generated contents form the prevailing portion of most Individuated media companies’ contents, links to items from Mass Media companies compose a pronounced portion. Within that partial dependence lay the remaining opportunities (fact #8) for the legacy Mass Media industries. Yet before those opportunities can be leverage, the Mass Media industries themselves need implement two long-overdue internal changes: one organization and the other infrastructural.
 The Mass Media industries’ executives involved in the new media environment are fond of using the word ‘convergence‘ yet have organizationally failed to converge their industries. For more than 25 years, they have talked about how computer-mediated technologies allow formerly separate sectors (the newspapers, magazines, radio, television, etc.) of the media industries each to produce products and services that contain contents in formats native to the other sectors (i.e., newspapers offering videos, TV stations offering texts, etc.) and thereby compete in the new multimedia environment directly against each other. That outcome certainly has happened. Yet an overarching irony is that the Mass Media industries’ sectors themselves have not converged, but instead persist in maintaining their own sectored trade organization, sectored trade journals, sectored trade conferences, etc. Although there have been a few attempts to converge the Mass Media industries, such as by simply expansively renaming media sector trade organizations (such as the International Newspaper Marketing Association becoming the International News Marketing Association), or the creation of a multimedia-only trade organization, populated mainly by two dozen mostly American Mass Media companies (such as Digital Content Next), more than 98 percent of the world’s Mass Media companies remain isolated in their Industrial Era media sector silos. Yet those divisible sectors of the Mass Media industries are now trying to compete against gargantuan and truly converge companies of the Individuated Media industry. This fractious persistence of the old ways is a losing battle plan for the future.
 The sectors of the Mass Media industries instead need to unify, particularly when competing against the Individuated Media industry for consumers and lobbying attention by governments. The time is well overdue to merge Mass Media siloed trade organizations nationally and internationally if those industries want to survive. This reorganization will require unprecedented cooperation among them, industry sectors which have historically competed against one another. However, if Mass Media industries truly believe in the convergence doctrine that they have been professing for more than 25 years, then they need to do it  After having failed to perceive Individuated Media and metamorphose with it, their industry sectors that persist in going it alone will fail against the national and international competitive clout that the new companies producing Individuated Media contents now wield worldwide.
 Hand in hand with that organization change is an infrastructural change that the Mass Media industries should have begun undertaking during the opening years of this century: they need to develop a common infrastructure. Doing so is absolutely necessary to ensure that the items which the Mass Media industries produce (books, news or entertainment stories, song and music, photographs, songs, videos, VR/ARs, and other items of information, etc.) are distributed optimally to masses of individual consumers according to each of those consumer’s own individual mixes of needs, interests, tastes, and beliefs. During the Informational Era, computerized algorithms rather than humans, will increasingly be handing item selections and distribution of media contents, something that requires a comprehensive embrace and optimal usage of standardized metadata coding, and not just production of the media items themselves. As advancements in computer-media technologies accelerate, as they certainly will this century as the costs of terabytes of computer random-access memory are predicted to drop to pennies and Machine Learning, Artificial Intelligence, and Quantum Computing implemented, the very survival of Mass Media industries depends on it.
 Many, if not most, veterans of late Industrial Era Mass Media tend to view the concept of metadata as something alien or overly technocratic. Metadata however have be existed inconspicuously and been used throughout their Mass Media careers (an editors’ marking atop a story, denoting in what edition it is to be published, on what page, in what position, etc., or a producer’s notation about at what program time and in what order to broadcast a story; etc.) Formulated in 1995, the worldwide standard for metadata during the 21st Century is known as Dublin Core (ISO 15836, ANSI/NISO Z39.85, and IETF RFC 5013), having numerous subsets specifically for media (such as NewsML, SportsML, FIXML for financial information, etc.) Except perhaps for 50 forward thinking Mass Media companies in the world (Agence France-PresseAssociated PressAustria Presse AgenturDeutsche Presse-AgenturThomson Reuters, The New York Times Company, etc.) and it now being the standard of the International Press Telecommunications Council, 99 percent of the world’s Mass Media companies have yet to being using it. All Individuated Media companies do. It usage collapses legacy Mass Media sectors’ silos and facilitates the true convergence of media, media companies, and media industries.
 Virtually every media school in the world nowadays teaches courses in HyperText Markup Language (HTML) and Cascading Style Sheets (CSS) to their students, yet hardly any teaches the much more urgently needed knowledge of Dublin Core XML and particularly its existing subsets for the media industries. These media schools’ curricular omissions are all the more curious because academic and scientific journal publishing have been using it for more than 20 years. Academic, scientific, and government journals have likewise long utilized the Document Object Identifier (DOI) system (ISO/DIS 26324) to track journal articles, research reports, data sets, official publications, etc. A DOI is a unique ID (‘persistent identifier’) for every such item, which allows such items to be tracked throughout the Internet, and could also be used to track any form of media item (such as a news story, a photo, a video or audio clip, etc.). It can be instrumental in allowing media producers, distributors, and consumers to track the usage and trace the providence of content beyond the techniques that Web analytics now provide (and particular so after the 2022 elimination of third-party ‘cookie’ tracking in such analytics).
 Comprehensive implementation of DOI and Dublin Core usage throughout the Mass Media industries would be instrumental towards deployment of any future systems designed to remunerate media producers and distributors for content use. Most current paywall system operate only within a media company’s own websites, not from throughout the entire online distribution chain to the consumers. Dublin Core and DOI system are each open source and non-proprietary, an advantage over most commercial media software developers’ current or proposed paywall or micro-charging system, as well as not owned by the Individuated Media industries (search engines, social media, etc.) systems. The Mass Media industries should also seriously examine the Sir Tim Berners-Lee’s Solid project, which perhaps is the only endeavor with the potential to allow the Mass Media industries to develop individuated services and compete directly against, as well as in, the Individuated Media industry.
 Unless the Mass Media industries join together to implement some, or ideally all, these changes, they are doomed to fail in the new media environment. They need to examine these technologies and the new media environment serious and with eyes not blindered by a late 20th Century perspective.

8. The Individuated Media industries (which consist of the search engines, social media, plus computer-mediated genre services such as Pandora, Spotify, Flipboard, etc., see fact #6) which today predominate the media environment achieved their fulminant success through legitimate competition with the Mass Media industries. Nevertheless, they have become so potent worldwide that regulation of them has become necessary lest they become omnipotent. The several largest of them have grown to become the Informational Era’s version of informational utilities; and like the water, sewage, natural gas, electricity, and telephone companies that grew to dominance during the Industrial Era, these now need to become regulated for similar safety and hygienic reasons, as well as to prevent predatory pricing, tying, price gouging, and formation of cartels on a transnational scale.
Facebook, Google, Twitter, Baidu [], Pandora, Renren [人人网}, Spotify, Vkontakte [ВКонта́кте}, etc., the largest companies in the Individuated Media industries [see fact #6) were neither designed nor founded to compete with the Mass Media industries. For examples, Google was started during 1996 as a webpage ranking experiment by two doctoral students at Stanford University who, when their experiment succeeded, founded the company to sell that software to other companies; in other words as business-to-business (B2B) software supplier of technology, not as a business-to-consumer company. Although they were surprised by the unexpected volume of consumer usage traffic their software demonstration website generated during those first several years, they were averse to earning ancillary revenues by selling online advertising space on that B2B software demonstration website. Nevertheless, they ultimately did and those revenues became anything but ancillary, generating 83 percent of Google’s parent company’s $162 billion in annual revenues last year. YouTube, nowadays the world’s largest on-demand video sharing website, was founded during 2005 as a video date ranking website like HotOrNot.com. YouTube quickly abandoned that purpose when millions of people instead used its website’s services to upload and share videos about almost anything. YouTube now generates $25 billion annually by selling interstitial video advertising time before consumers view those uploads or monthly fees from its consumers who want to avoid all those advertisements. Google purchased the company for $1.65 billion 22 months after YouTube’s founding. Facebook began during 2003 as Facesmash.com, a personal photo rating website like HotOrNot.com but only for Harvard University students. Its creator, student Mark Zuckerberg, subsequently changed the website’s purpose to being a hyperlinked version of his school’s printed ‘face book’ directory of incoming students and their interests. It became so quickly popular within Harvard that he added other universities and founding the company known as Facebook during 2004. Selling advertising space on its website was an afterthought years later: one that now generates $70 billion annually.
 None of those Individuated Media companies were designed or founded to compete against the Mass Industries. Yet their products and services are the predominate means by which most adults under the age of 40 in developed countries now obtain news, entertainment, and other information. Google and Facebook themselves are two of the three most visited website in the world and have captured a combined 56 percent market share of all online advertising expenditures in the U.S. and 52 percent worldwide.
 Despite not being initially designed nor founded to compete against the Mass Media industries, Individuated Media companies gained predominance in the 21st Century media environment legitimately, through market competition. Billions of consumers discovered that the Individuated Media industries’ computer-mediated, algorithmically driven technologies could provide then a better mix (see fact #6) of news, entertainment, and other information, to match their needs, interests, tastes, and beliefs, than could any Mass Media product or service or practical combinations thereof. Indeed, the Mass Media companies which nowadays claim that Individuated Media companies have grown to monopolize the new media environment and that Individuated Media companies should remunerate them for displaying abstracts and hyperlinks to their contents were not making such claims between 1998 and 2013 when they were happy that Individuated Media companies were doing those same things then. Perhaps blinkered by complacency and industrial inertia, executives of the Mass Media industries myopically failed to understand that the unprecedented capabilities of computer-mediated technologies went beyond mere delivery and rudimentary interactivity. Executives of Individuated Media companies had no such handicaps and saw the full potentials of computer-media technologies to better satisfy the purposes for which people use media. Thus, Individuated Media are superseding Mass Media at the start of the Information Era—much as during the middle of the 15th Century press rooms superseded monastic scriptoriums for the purpose of dissemination information at the start of the Industrial Era.
 Nevertheless, the fulminant success of Individuated Media industries has become so potent worldwide that regulation of their largest companies has become necessary lest they become omnipotent. The largest of those companies, such as Google and Facebook, have effectively become the public information utilities of the Informational Era. Like the Industrial Era companies that grew so large providing the public with water, natural gas, electricity, and telephone communications, that they dominated regional, national, or international markets and became regulated as public utilities, the largest of information delivery companies during the Individuated Media should come under regulation for informational safety and hygiene reasons, and ro prevention of predatory pricing, tying, price gouging, and the formation of cartels. Much as during the 20th Century it became necessary to regulate media companies which broadcast to the public, such needs have arisen regarding Individuated Media during the 21st Century. Moreover, the rise of Information utilities raises unprecedented challenges to ensure the public good. Who controls what among any private data about the individuals who use these utilities? Who controls the algorithms used to select the information delivered to millions and billions of people? Refer to Columbia Law School Professor Lina Khan’s 2017 treatise Amazon’s Antitrust Paradox and to the United States House of Representatives’ 2020. report Investigations of Competition in Digital Markets for an examination of those and other challenges involved. Formulating such new regulations will be controversial, but the time has come.

9. The Mass Media industries were doomed by their new media executives who had put those industries online by the year 2000 yet thereafter complacently and myopically failed to perceive the gargantuan changes already underway in the media environment.
 They failed to perceive that ‘always-on’ online access (nonetheless mobile access) would change how billions of people consumed media contents (see fact #5). Nor see how billions of people’s access and choice of news, entertainment, and other information, shifting from relative scarcity to surplus (or even overload) would further radically change that consumption. Nor specifically comprehend that the latent capabilities of computer-mediated technologies services existed beyond merely implementing online delivery and applying rudimentary interactivity to Mass Media contents but liberation from the hallmark limitation inherent in the Industrial Era’s analog media technologies that created the Mass Media. By 2007 when the ‘Great Recession’ occurred, those global changes in the media environment were already manifest and the window of opportunity for the Mass Media to change with those had closed, slammed shut by that recession. Meanwhile, the combination of those global changes in the media environment had already birthed an unprecedented new genus of media, collectively now called Individuated Media (see fact #7) which billions of consumer worldwide would embrace, competitively draining the Mass Media of audiences, advertisers, and financial resources. The Mass Media industries have spent the second decade of this century trapped in whirlpools of sinking fortunes and fates; most are desperately struggling just to stay afloat, nonetheless adapt to their new environment. Many might still have some slim chances of survival, but only by adopting unprecedented cooperation and coordination within and among their sectors, which is unlikely.
  Conceptual myopia, institutional inertia, and human nature will likely cause the Mass Media industries to sink until whatever inertial momentum remains within them yields to history. As the dawning Informational Era replaces the waning Industrial Era and thus Individuated Media fully supersedes Mass Media as people’s predominant means of obtaining news, entertainment, and other information, only a few Mass Media companies will remain by mid-century (yet likely sooner as the accelerating power, articulation, and scope of computer-mediated technologies continue to advance, as inevitably they will with further development of Machine Learning, Artificial Intelligence, Quantum Computing, etc.)
 The conceptual situation in the media industries today is akin to that of the one in physics between the Michaelson-Morley Experiment of the late 1880s and the acceptance of the Theory of Relatively in 1904: advancements in technologies now demonstrate through repeatable results and data that the classical theories of past centuries are no longer fully useful and a new conceptual framework is required. Mass Media resigns to Individuated Media. That is a hard reality to accept for those media industry executives and media academicians whose hard-won expertise about the late Industrial Era media technologies, practices, doctrines, and theories known as Mass Media earned them their positions. Most of them naturally want to undergo the epochal challenge of learning the new when there remains some time to continue apace practicing or teaching the old ways. Indeed, most media schools are vocationally devoted to teaching only Mass Media theories, doctrines, and practices, despite the manifest decline of Mass Media during the past two decades. The longer media schools persist in teaching only the old ways, the longer media executive persist in practicing only the old ways, striving to preserve many now obsolete practices and doctrines, the weaker their industries, companies, and schools will become and the less likely will they be to adapt and survive. Some hidebound practitioners and teachers might view some aspects of Individuated Media as heretical, abhorrent, or even obscene; yet the open-minded ones will examine and fully appreciate the natural evolution, grand beauty, and fecund potential of them.


[Phryne (‘fray-ni’), by the way, was a famous courtesan in Athens during the Fourth Century B.C.E. Renowned for her beauty, and reputed to have been the model for sculpture Praxiteles‘s statue the Aphrodite of Knidos, the first nude statue of a woman from ancient Greece, and for his statue of Eros. Phryne was alleged to have bared a breast during a religious festival, a capital offense in ancient Greece. When it became apparent that she would lose her trial and her life, the orator Hypereides, defending her, suddenly removed Phryne’s robe and bared her before the judges. He asked, how can the very image of Aphrodite be impious? Unable to argue against that reasoning, they acquitted her.]

Individuated Media vs. Mass Media: Newspaper Cataclysm

Planet Explosion. Apocalypse. End of The Time. Science fiction art. Beauty of deep space. Elements of this image furnished by NASA

[This essay first appeared in a slightly different form at DigitalDeliverance.com]

Welcome to the Newspaper Cataclysm. The financial disaster unfolding for the daily newspaper industries due to the coronavirus pandemic is a late-stage event in an even greater struggle that has been underway in the media environment for more than 25 years. Though the recession caused by the pandemic will kill many (possibly very many) daily newspapers, their real cause of death won’t be the pandemic or recession but those newspapers’ weakened state caused by an epochal change underway in the media environment.

Most publishing or broadcasting pundits circulate any of several shopworn excuses for the financial and popular usage decline of newspapers, news magazines, and news broadcasts during the past decades. The most frequently uttered are that avaricious corporate chain ownerships of media companies have slashed newsrooms to levels that can no longer produce services that consumers want to use; or that consumers simply no longer care at all about news; or if consumers care, then they still won’t pay for news because they’ve become used to obtaining information for free online; or that no one has yet found the ‘missing’ business model that will allow newspaper to earn revenues as great online as they had earned in print.

However, none of those myopic excuses is the real reason why the newspaper industry has begun to evaporate. Although it is true that corporate chain owners of newspapers, which comprise some 95 percent of the U.S. industry, have bled newsrooms dry, independently owned newspapers and those owned by not-for-profit foundations have suffered the same financial and popular usage declines as chain-bled ones. Multiple surveys (the most recent example) show that consumers do care about news and are willing to pay something for it, but not anywhere as much as they had been paying decades ago when newspapers had been their only locally-accessible sources of daily changing information in print. And there never was any ‘missing’ business model that will allow newspapers to regain the revenues and the audiences that they had had in print. The fundamental reason why the newspaper industry is failing is more than these banal excuses.

In each era of history, the theories, doctrines, practices, and business models of its media have always been defined by the technologies of that era. The reach of the voices of actors or priests and the sightlines of the props in royal courts, theaters, and churches wasn’t far, nor the range of town criers, during the Agricultural Era. Although some people date the start of the Industrial Era to the rise of powered machinery during the late 1700s, I date it to Gutenberg’s invention of the moveable type printing press in 1454. His machinery began mass production: books, newspapers, and magazines. It was the invention of Mass Media. Four and one-half centuries later in the Industrial Era, Marconi’s practical invention of the broadcast transmitter began to extend the reach of Mass Media worldwide. Unfortunately, there was a hallmark limitation to all mechanical (i.e., analog) printing presses and all analog waveform transmitters: they had mass reach but each recipient of that printed edition or that broadcast program schedule simultaneously received the exact same edition or broadcast. They had reach but analog uniformity. That might have been fine if every recipient had an identical mix of individual needs, interests, beliefs, and tastes; yet individual humans don’t. Nonetheless, this was the best Industrial Era technologies could do. The theories, doctrines, practices, and business models of Mass Media arose from within that hallmark limitation.

That limitation does not exist with computer-mediated technologies. The legacy media companies of the waning Industrial Era that have tried to transplant newspaper contents, practices, business models, doctrines, and theories into computer-mediated media (i.e., online, colloquially known as ‘digital’) either because it saves them purchasing, printing, and distributing paper or simply because billions of consumer have switched media consumption habits online, are too shortsighted to see that the media environment has been fundamentally transformed by computerization and liberated from Mass Media limitations.

As the Informational Era dawns, an entirely new genus of media, functionally different and distinct from Mass Media, rises with it. This genus has as much or more the mass reach as Mass Media, yet also can simultaneously deliver a unique mix of contents according to each recipient’s individual mix of needs, interests, beliefs, and tastes. Each of those unique mixes isn’t merely personalized (i.e, ‘a uniform golf ball but with your name printed on it’) or even customized (i.e., a uniform product to which parts have been added or subtracted), but a bespoke mix from its onset, and ideally with component parts selected not just from one source (i.e., a publisher, broadcaster, or other entity) but from all sources practicable. It delivers a fully individuated product or service for its consumer. These products and service truly are ‘New Media’, fitting with Steuer’s classic definition of interactivity, in striking functional contrast to Industrial Era legacy periodicals and broadcasts consigned to online delivery and erroneously called ‘new media’.

Each of us alive shares a few common interests (the weather, news of a disaster or pandemic, etc.) Many of us also share some group interests (a sport team, a popular cuisine, a fashion, etc.) Yet each of us has myriad idiosyncratic or specific interests, including some of which we might not know anyone with whom we share. It is the unique mix of common, group, and idiosyncratic interests, beliefs, and tastes that makes each of us individual. Imagine that previously in your life you had always been served the same meal as everyone else, but now you have access to a gargantuan buffet from which you could select whatever mix of items that you think best matches your individual needs, interests, and tastes. Would you continue consuming uniform meals or choose that buffet? I think it self-evident that most people would switch to the buffet, the more articulate means by which they can satisfy their individual needs, interests, and tastes. Billions of consumers have been making that same switch online thanks to the New Media.

So far, three general categories of Individualized Media have appeared during these early decades of the Informational Era. Each category is unprecedented in the history of media:

  • The first and earliest is Search Engines. Although the world has had printed directories and encyclopedia, none were ever live (i.e., news updated with minutes, other listings within days); capable of parsing users’ questions; and delivering more information worldwide than had ever before been published and broadcast. Most consumers use Search Engines not for contents that the users could readily find in whatever Mass Media are locally based and distributed, but instead for more idiosyncratic contents. And no two individual users likely ever search for the same mix. (Indeed, for example, 15% of all Google searches terms each day have never been searched for before.) Consumers began using Search Engines in the 1990s to hunt and gather a better mix of contents to their individual needs, interests, beliefs, and tastes than Mass Media could give them. Is Google a Mass Media company? Its worldwide reach is absolutely mass, processing 3.5 billion searches each day. it is ranked the #1 website in the world by traffic, and it receives 32.3% of the world’s online advertising expenditures, at Mass Media’s loss.
  • During the following decade, many New Media companies were launched to give those consumers automated help hunting and gathering individuated mixes of contents. Colloquially known as Social Media, these new services have long been mistaken by Mass Media executives as somehow supplemental services to Mass Media, as if social media were merely electronic bulletin boards instead of so much more. Social Media (such as Facebook, Sina Weibo, Vkontakte, Twitter, Renren, etc.) are now the primary means by which people under the age of 35 obtain news, entertainment, and other information. Social Media consumers receive an individuated feed of contents based upon their ‘Likes’, ‘Follows’, and network of ‘Friends’ (i.e., collaborative filtering). Facebook itself now has 2.5 billion users and 22% of the world’s online ad spending (83% of the world’s Social Media ad spending). Does all that make Facebook a Mass Media company? It certainly has mass reach, yet quite unlike Mass Media products, even those of the Industrial Era’s last decades, none of Facebook’s 2.5 billion users simultaneously sees the same mix of contents; each sees a uniquely individuated mix. Like Search Engines, Social Media products and services are Individuated Media.
  • The third category of Individuated Media arising hasn’t yet a colloquial name (such as ‘Search Engines’ or ‘Social Media’) but instead are individuated media transformations of what Mass Media executives would call topical (or ‘niche’) products and services. Each focusing on a single genre of media contents, examples of such services include Pandora, Spotify, and Flipboard. Each of these a highly customized or individuated mix of music or of news to each of their users, according to each user’s interests and tastes. Pandora and Spotify nowadays each have more listeners than any commercial radio station or music network (the sole exception: government-owned China Central Television). Flipboard’s 145 million users number far more (4x) than the readers of any news or features magazine in the world, yet each sees an individuated mix of contents changing daily.

Half of humanity, 3.8 billion people, now use at least one Individuated Media service daily, if not multiple ones many times per day. None of those services existed a generation ago. And most of those billions of people use Individuated Media at the expense of Mass Media products and services, even though those products and services provide some components of Individuated Media contents. Online advertising already comprises the 68% of the $563 billion spent annually on all forms of advertising, and Individuated Media services such as Google and Facebook command more than 60% of that majority of the world’s advertising. Individuated Media aren’t supplemental to Mass Media; instead, Individuated Media is rapidly superseding Mass Media, and not coincidentally much as the Informational Era has been superseding the Industrial Era in the world’s developed countries.

All Individuated Media products & services are entirely dependent upon computer-mediated algorithms, much as almost all aviation nowadays is dependent upon locomotive technologies. While Individuated Media delivers the benefits of better mixes of contents that match each individual’s unique needs, interests, beliefs, and tastes, like most other revolutionary technological advancements, it also creates new risks. Although degrees of serendipity can be built into its algorithms, some of its consumers can use it to omit receiving information that is contrary to their beliefs or prejudices. Editors can no longer set a ‘common agenda’ for the consumers in their community who use it rather than Industrial Era’s legacy Mass Media. Nor can advertisers as easily force ‘eyeballs’ to see their ads as they could with Mass Media. Thus, many of the theories, doctrines, practices, and business models of Individuated Media are different than those of Mass Media, despite many commonalities.

A Tonic for Watching

Among the world’s many companies that are working towards Individuation of news feeds is Canopy, which was recently acquired by Cable News Network (CNN) . Founded in 2018, Canopy’s launched an iPhone app called Tonic, which is now reportedly being wound down. The acquisition is apparently part of a CNN project known as ‘NewsCo’. Tonic used an algorithm which, among other equations, used differential privacy data base mathematics to prevent publisher, broadcasters, and other third-parties from obtaining the topical news choices of Tonic’s individual users, while providing those users with a customized (although not actually fully individuated) feed of news according to their needs, interests, and tastes. What that means is any user could choose which general topics he wanted but that Canopy chose the selection of content providers from which a user can obtain those choices. No one here at IndividuatedMedia.com has any relationships or contact with Canopy or CNN. However, we speculate that CNN will utilize Canopy’s technologies to make CNN the sole content provider and will aim to launch a customized news feed for CNN.com’s users.

‘Echo Chamber’ versus ‘Filter Bubbles’

As Dr. Richard Fletcher, of Oxford University’s Reuters Institute for the Study of Journalism, explains, an ‘echo chamber’ can results when an online user self-selects the websites from which he gets news. However, a ‘filter bubble’ can result when instead an algorithm makes those selections for him: guessing via either programming, ‘machine learning’ artificial intelligence, or a combination of those, what his needs, interests, and tastes are.

That subtle difference will become ever more crucial as the background power (i.e., Moore’s Law) of computing becomes ever more advanced. The user himself is certainly more likely to know his own needs, interests, and tastes, better than any current algorithm can. However, his own self-selections will be more likely to create an ‘echo chamber’ around him. However, algorithmic systems, if they advance at the pace of Moore’s Law (and certainly with the advent of quantum computing) should within the new decade match or even exceed his own capability to match and delivery a mix contents to his needs, interests, and tastes.

Moreover, algorithmic system can be programmed to include some serendipity in the content mix which his own self-selections wouldn’t, possible puncturing or at least somewhat perforating an ‘echo chamber’.

Many, if not most, of the world’s 4.5 billion users of online media probably self-selected news websites when they first went online. However, more than 3 billion of them now use forms of algorithmic websites, mainly search engines and social media, every day. Those algorithmic websites provide each user with an individuated mix of contents programmed to better match that users’ unique mix of needs, interests, and tastes, better than mass media websites can. As the number of individuated media users steadily increases, expect to see few people in echo chambers — although there will always be some; that’s human nature — and more filter bubbles. And let’s hope that those bubbles are fewer and more permeable than echo chambers.